Zamalek 1-2 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.98
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
6%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 38% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+11.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.0pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.61/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.03
+39% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.4 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Masry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
04.04.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 3-2 HT 1-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
01.12.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
26.11.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSRK
26.08.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
28.04.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-2
AWAY Al Masry
1.58 xG 0.43
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 0
390 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry edged past Zamalek 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Al Masry made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 62% of the ball to Al Masry's 38%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zamalek.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zamalek and 1.17 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Al Masry?

Zamalek 1-2 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 40%, draw 24%, Al Masry 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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