Smouha 2-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 32% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.34
+42% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.8 Crosses 13.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ismaily
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.82 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
219 Passes 336
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
30.03.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 1-3 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
02.12.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.07.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
21.12.2021 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
27.06.2021 Smouha Smouha 0-3 HT 0-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
2-0
AWAY Ismaily
2.03 xG 0.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
304 Passes 170
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 1
27 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha beat Ismaily 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Smouha had 59% of the ball to Ismaily's 41%, shots finished 14-1, expected goals 2.03 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ismaily led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 1.67 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Ismaily?

Smouha 2-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Smouha 52%, draw 24%, Ismaily 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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