Ismaily vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ismaily v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
Ismaily vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Ismaily
MSR
0-1
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
2-1
HT 1-1
Ismaily
MSR
0-3
HT 0-1
Ismaily
MSR
0-2
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
Ismaily 2-1 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
Ismaily squeezed past Smouha 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Ismaily made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ismaily had 62% of the ball to Smouha's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ismaily and 1.00 for Smouha.
What was the final score of Ismaily vs Smouha?
Ismaily 2-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 34%, draw 30%, Smouha 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.