Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
4.08
6+ Goals
7%
19.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.08 — our 30% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.56/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.86
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.3 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1-1
AWAY Masr
1.03 xG 2.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra and Masr shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 25% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 53% of the ball to Masr's 47%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.03 to 2.23.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr?

Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 40%, draw 36%, Masr 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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