El Gounah 1-2 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.18
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.1 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
265 Passes 172
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.07.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSRK
16.03.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
12.08.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
21.02.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
30.08.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon edged past El Gounah 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Mokawloon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Gounah and 1.50 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?

El Gounah 1-2 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 39%, draw 28%, Al Mokawloon 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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