Ismaily 2-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.84
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Smouha
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 Passes 223
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
03.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
30.03.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 1-3 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
02.12.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.07.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
21.12.2021 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily saw off Smouha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ismaily found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ismaily and 1.17 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Smouha?

Ismaily 2-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 35%, draw 33%, Smouha 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ismaily), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ismaily) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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