Pyramids 4-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.62/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/13.00
+27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -84%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
4W-1D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 183
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 1-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
09.04.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-4 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
30.08.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 1-3 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.05.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
16.08.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
25.02.2021 Pyramids Pyramids 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
4-0
AWAY El Gounah
3.66 xG 0.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
29 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
345 Passes 131
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 3
25 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids ran out comfortable winners over El Gounah 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pyramids had 68% of the ball to El Gounah's 32%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 3.66 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pyramids and 1.00 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs El Gounah?

Pyramids 4-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 57%, draw 24%, El Gounah 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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