Zamalek 1-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 32% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.2pp
36%
Draw
26%
+9.9pp
32%
Away Win
43%
-11.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
35.6 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
4W-0D-2L
AWAY El Geish
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
431 Passes 234
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.08.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-3 HT 1-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
11.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
30.05.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
07.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 0-4 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
17.05.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
31.10.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-1
AWAY El Geish
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek and El Geish shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zamalek had 61% of the ball to El Geish's 39%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zamalek and 0.83 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs El Geish?

Zamalek 1-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 32%, draw 36%, El Geish 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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