Zamalek 1-3 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.67/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
+37% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
14.8 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
5W-0D-1L
AWAY El Geish
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
30.05.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
07.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 0-4 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
17.05.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
31.10.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
20.05.2021 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-3
AWAY El Geish
0.99 xG 1.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
419 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish got the better of Zamalek 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zamalek at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 57% of the ball to El Geish's 43%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.99 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zamalek and 0.50 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs El Geish?

Zamalek 1-3 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 48%, draw 24%, El Geish 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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