ENPPI 1-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 53%
+17% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.79
+34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 81%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
18.9 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.72 xG 1.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 508
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-2 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
04.10.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSRK
23.05.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 2-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
05.01.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
24.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
21.05.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-1
AWAY Al Ahly
1.33 xG 0.54
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
228 Passes 505
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI and Al Ahly shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahly at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, ENPPI had 35% of the ball to Al Ahly's 65%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ENPPI and 2.17 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Al Ahly?

ENPPI 1-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 24%, draw 30%, Al Ahly 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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