Al Masry 0-1 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 37% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.15/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.92
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.9 Crosses 12.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Masr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.37 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
284 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Masr 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
26.08.2020 Masr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
21.10.2019 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 2-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
0-1
AWAY Masr
0.59 xG 0.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
388 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr edged past Al Masry 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Masr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Masry had 55% of the ball to Masr's 45%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.59 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Masry had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Masry and 0.67 for Masr.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Masr?

Al Masry 0-1 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 33%, draw 29%, Masr 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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