Smouha 1-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
15%
8.13
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.23/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.93
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.3 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ismaily
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
263 Passes 283
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
21.08.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSRK
16.08.2024 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
03.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
30.03.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 1-3 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
02.12.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-1
AWAY Ismaily
0.74 xG 0.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
160 Passes 257
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha and Ismaily couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Smouha had 42% of the ball to Ismaily's 58%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ismaily led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 1.33 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Ismaily?

Smouha 1-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Smouha 36%, draw 32%, Ismaily 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Smouha), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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