Triglav 3-0 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.6pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.33/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +81%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gorica
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
16.08.2024 Triglav Triglav 2-3 HT 2-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.04.2024 Gorica Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
24.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-3 HT 0-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.11.2021 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
30.07.2020 Triglav Triglav 0-5 HT 0-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav swept aside Gorica 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Triglav and 2.50 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Gorica?

Triglav 3-0 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Triglav 53%, draw 24%, Gorica 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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