Triglav 2-3 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 40%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.54/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.03
-65% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gorica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Gorica Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
24.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-3 HT 0-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.11.2021 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
30.07.2020 Triglav Triglav 0-5 HT 0-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN
10.02.2018 Gorica Gorica 1-2 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav HAZ
27.06.2015 Triglav Triglav 1-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica HAZ
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica squeezed past Triglav 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Triglav and 2.00 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Gorica?

Triglav 2-3 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Triglav 28%, draw 26%, Gorica 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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