Krka 1-2 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Aug 2024

Krka
1-2 HT 0-1
Tolmin
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.04
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.04.2024 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 2-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
08.10.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 1-3 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krka
1-2
AWAY Tolmin
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krka vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tolmin squeezed past Krka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Krka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krka had 70% of the ball to Tolmin's 30%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Krka had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Krka and 1.50 for Tolmin.

What was the final score of Krka vs Tolmin?

Krka 1-2 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Krka 41%, draw 27%, Tolmin 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Krka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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