Krka 2-2 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 27 Apr 2024

Krka
2-2 HT 2-1
Tolmin
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.81/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.10.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 1-3 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
POST-MATCH Krka vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka and Tolmin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Krka vs Tolmin?

Krka 2-2 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Krka 39%, draw 24%, Tolmin 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Krka) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
27 Apr 2024
18:00 Fuzinar vs Triglav Analysis →
18:00 Dravinja vs NK Brinje Analysis →
19:00 Nafta vs Rudar Velenje Analysis →