Nafta 0-0 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.04/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.79
+20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-5 HT 0-2 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
31.03.2023 Nafta Nafta 4-2 HT 2-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
20.09.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-3 HT 0-2 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
11.03.2022 Nafta Nafta 2-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
30.10.2019 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-2 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVNK
16.10.2019 Nafta Nafta 2-1 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVNK
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta and Rudar Velenje fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Nafta at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nafta had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nafta and 0.67 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Rudar Velenje?

Nafta 0-0 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nafta 52%, draw 24%, Rudar Velenje 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Over 2.5
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