Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 Song Lam Nghe An — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.35/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 3-2 HT 0-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
21.09.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-0 HT 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
09.05.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 HT 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
17.12.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
11.08.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
15.04.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 3-1 HT 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1-1
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Song Lam Nghe An shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had 54% of the ball to Song Lam Nghe An's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Song Lam Nghe An led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.33 for Song Lam Nghe An.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 Song Lam Nghe An in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 37%, draw 30%, Song Lam Nghe An 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✓ Under 2.5
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VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
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