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Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Liverpool (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Aston Villa (K) 1-2 Liverpool (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool (K) squeezed past Aston Villa (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 56% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 44%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.57.
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 1-2 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 33%, draw 22%, Liverpool (K) 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.