Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0 Leicester City WFC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.19/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.11
+150% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
12.0 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.55 xG 2.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
218 Passes 356
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
24.03.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 2-3 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1-0
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
1.58 xG 0.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
522 Passes 268
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) edged past Leicester City WFC (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 64% of the ball to Leicester City WFC (K)'s 36%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 1.58 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0 Leicester City WFC (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 49%, draw 25%, Leicester City WFC (K) 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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