Manchester United (K) 1-1 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
36%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.6pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.5pp
36%
Away Win
52%
-16.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 2.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
282 Passes 430
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 3-1 HT 3-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
16.09.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
1-1
AWAY Arsenal (K)
1.17 xG 1.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 50
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) and Arsenal (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 40% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 60%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 1.17 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Manchester United (K) and 2.00 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Manchester United (K) 1-1 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 32%, draw 32%, Arsenal (K) 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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