Ponferradina 2-2 Zamora CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.3
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.14/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.06
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
2-2
AWAY Zamora CF
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Zamora CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina and Zamora CF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ponferradina had 55% of the ball to Zamora CF's 45%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Zamora CF?

Ponferradina 2-2 Zamora CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Zamora CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 43%, draw 25%, Zamora CF 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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