AC Milan (K) 1-0 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.57/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.81
+22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.0 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.77 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
203 Passes 253
60% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
18.01.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
1-0
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.99 xG 0.32
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 Passes 163
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) edged past Sassuolo (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 65% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 35%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.99 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AC Milan (K) and 0.50 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

AC Milan (K) 1-0 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 47%, draw 30%, Sassuolo (K) 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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