Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
Crosses 23.1
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.00 xG 2.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 338
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
24.03.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2-1
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.37 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
282 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) edged past Inter Milano (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fiorentina (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 49% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 51%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inter Milano (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 2.50 for Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 37%, draw 28%, Inter Milano (K) 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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