RB Leipzig (K) 3-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.83/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/2.12
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
6.0 Crosses 23.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
3-1
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.46 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
323 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) beat Hoffenheim (K) 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 49% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 51%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.46 to 0.59.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 3-1 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 34%, draw 20%, Hoffenheim (K) 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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