Wolfsburg (K) 3-0 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
33%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.5pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.4pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
3.24/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.78
+63% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -33%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 69%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.7
21.4 Crosses 10.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.48 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 Passes 243
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
3-0
AWAY Freiburg (K)
5.08 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 10
390 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) cruised past Freiburg (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 57% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 43%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 5.08 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 3-0 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 63%, draw 20%, Freiburg (K) 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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