Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

Belgrano Cordoba
1-2 HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
18%
4.36
X/2
7%
6.65
X/X
13%
3.86
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
15%
5.5
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belgrano Cordoba v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
0.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.41
-12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.1 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
255 Passes 357
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
17.10.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-2 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
14.06.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
01.09.2018 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
13.03.2018 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
02.05.2017 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1-2
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.69 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
260 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia squeezed past Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Belgrano Cordoba at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 45% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 55%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.69 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.00 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 45%, draw 27%, Defensa y Justicia 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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