River Plate 3-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.57
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
18%
3.16
X/2
9%
20.3
X/X
16%
5.85
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
5%
19.25
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.8pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
2.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.54
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
421 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 68%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
23.9 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Banfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.02
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
408 Passes 170
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
25.09.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
13.06.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-4 HT 1-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
23.02.2023 Banfield Banfield 2-3 HT 0-2 River Plate River Plate ARJTC
15.09.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
18.04.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
3-1
AWAY Banfield
0.98 xG 1.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
386 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate saw off Banfield 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 64% of the ball to Banfield's 36%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 0.98 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Banfield.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for River Plate and 1.33 for Banfield.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Banfield?

River Plate 3-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split River Plate 55%, draw 27%, Banfield 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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