River Plate 1-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

River Plate
1-1 HT 0-0
Banfield
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

River Plate vs Banfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 36% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
19.0
X/1
15%
3.33
X/2
7%
13.15
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
12.15
2/X
5%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-17.2pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

River Plate v Banfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.89/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.25
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +60%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
23.4 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4

River Plate vs Banfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Banfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
379 Passes 172
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
13.06.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-4 HT 1-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
23.02.2023 Banfield Banfield 2-3 HT 0-2 River Plate River Plate ARJTC
15.09.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
18.04.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
10.10.2021 Banfield Banfield 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ

River Plate 1-1 Banfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-1
AWAY Banfield
2.42 xG 0.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
444 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and Banfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 65% of the ball to Banfield's 35%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.42 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for River Plate and 1.17 for Banfield.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Banfield?

River Plate 1-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split River Plate 47%, draw 29%, Banfield 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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