Lanus 2-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
6.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.02
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
10%
15.15
X/1
15%
5.85
X/2
10%
4.53
X/X
9%
3.34
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
10%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.03/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.05
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.7 Crosses 17.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.49
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 431
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
11.06.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
15.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
18.04.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
10.10.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-2 HT 2-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
02.05.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
2-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.11 xG 1.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 1
179 Passes 500
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus edged past Boca Juniors 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 32% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 68%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 1.11 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lanus and 1.50 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Boca Juniors?

Lanus 2-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lanus 37%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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