Kapfenberger SV 1-2 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
49%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.1
Over
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.54
No
46%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.07
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
24%
3.08
6+
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.97
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
10%
6.16
X/2
10%
5.33
X/X
7%
5.08
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
33%
3.24
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/2 at 3.24 — our 33% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Kapfenberger SV The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna The Market 43%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.49 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.79
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.76
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.3 Crosses 10.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-1D-3L
AWAY First Vienna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 4-2 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
04.11.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
21.04.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
30.09.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
18.07.2021 First Vienna First Vienna 3-5 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AUK
02.05.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 3-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1-2
AWAY First Vienna
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Kapfenberger SV vs First Vienna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

First Vienna edged past Kapfenberger SV 2-1 on their travels. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.54, roughly 65%.

By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in Kapfenberger SV's favour, shots finished 12-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Kapfenberger SV against 1.83 for First Vienna.

Kapfenberger SV vs First Vienna Result & Final Score

Kapfenberger SV 1-2 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kapfenberger SV vs First Vienna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 28%, draw 23%, First Vienna 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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