Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Nov 2024

Newcastle Jets (K)
2-2 HT 1-2
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.0pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.63/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.06
+129% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +93%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
18.5 Crosses 25.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
3W-0D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
208 Passes 319
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.02.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
02.02.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.10.2017 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2-2
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
4.17 xG 1.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
240 Passes 140
67% Pass Accuracy 56%
49 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) and W. Sydney Wanderers (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 60% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 40%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 4.17 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 45%, draw 20%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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