Gulf Heroes 2-3 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 52%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.80/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.15
-37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
258 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf Heroes
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Arabi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Arabi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
12.11.2023 Arabi 2-2 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAECK
16.09.2023 Gulf Heroes 0-2 HT 0-2 Arabi BAE2
08.01.2023 Gulf Heroes 1-2 HT 1-2 Arabi BAE2
12.02.2022 Arabi 4-1 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
30.10.2021 Gulf Heroes 0-1 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
POST-MATCH Gulf Heroes vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi squeezed past Gulf Heroes 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arabi led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gulf Heroes and 2.17 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Gulf Heroes vs Arabi?

Gulf Heroes 2-3 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf Heroes vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gulf Heroes 30%, draw 25%, Arabi 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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