Anderlecht 4-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.86
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.65
X/1
13%
3.79
X/2
11%
11.8
X/X
11%
6.51
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
8%
8.66
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
2.17/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.67
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.6 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
17.09.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
19.02.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
18.09.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
10.04.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-3 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.12.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
4-0
AWAY Kortrijk
2.46 xG 0.26
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
610 Passes 216
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
54 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht ran out comfortable winners over Kortrijk 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Anderlecht had 70% of the ball to Kortrijk's 30%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 2.46 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Anderlecht and 1.33 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Kortrijk?

Anderlecht 4-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 50%, draw 25%, Kortrijk 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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