Anderlecht 0-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.39
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.2
X/1
17%
3.58
X/2
7%
18.95
X/X
10%
8.11
2/1
9%
21.25
2/2
6%
13.95
2/X
8%
21.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.27/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.13
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.3 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 1.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
397 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
19.02.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
18.09.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
10.04.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-3 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.12.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
21.11.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-1 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
0-1
AWAY Kortrijk
1.13 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
427 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
45 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk squeezed past Anderlecht 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Anderlecht at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anderlecht had 57% of the ball to Kortrijk's 43%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.13 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Anderlecht.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Anderlecht and 1.33 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Kortrijk?

Anderlecht 0-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 58%, draw 23%, Kortrijk 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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