Standard Liege 4-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
5%
6.81
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.58/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.84
-23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.8 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.78 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
365 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 0-2 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
27.01.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 2-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
05.11.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
26.01.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
20.11.2021 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
09.04.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-4 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
4-0
AWAY AS Eupen
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege cruised past AS Eupen 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Standard Liege as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 55% of the ball to AS Eupen's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Standard Liege and 0.67 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs AS Eupen?

Standard Liege 4-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 53%, draw 26%, AS Eupen 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Standard Liege) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✗ Under 2.5
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