Dnepr Rogachev 4-2 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 EU Bookmakers 29%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.86/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.07.2024 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
27.08.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 4-2 HT 2-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 BLR1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev got the better of Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dnepr Rogachev and 1.50 for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4?

Dnepr Rogachev 4-2 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 41%, draw 25%, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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