Smorgon vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smorgon v Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Team-Based Signals
Smorgon vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLRK
1-1
HT 1-0
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
BLR1
Smorgon 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Actual Match Statistics
Smorgon squeezed past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Smorgon found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Smorgon had 38% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 62%, shots finished 10-14.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Smorgon and 1.67 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.
What was the final score of Smorgon vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
Smorgon 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 36%, draw 26%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.