Flamengo 3-1 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.9
X/1
26%
3.6
X/2
7%
9.99
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
12%
9.13
2/X
6%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.88/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.25
-15% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +47%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.3 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
416 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-4 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
30.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
30.07.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
16.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.07.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
23.06.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
3-1
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.86 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
344 Passes 472
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo got the better of Atletico Mineiro 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo had 43% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 57%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.86 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Flamengo and 1.33 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro?

Flamengo 3-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 52%, draw 25%, Atletico Mineiro 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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