Naestved 1-0 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 3 Nov 2024

Naestved
1-0
Akademisk BK
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Naestved vs Akademisk BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naestved v Akademisk BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 34%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.90/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.22
+126% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Naestved vs Akademisk BK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Akademisk BK
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
09.04.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
05.09.2021 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
28.03.2021 Naestved Naestved 1-2 HT 1-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
13.09.2020 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved nicked a narrow win over Akademisk BK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naestved as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Naestved and 0.80 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Akademisk BK?

Naestved 1-0 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naestved 41%, draw 26%, Akademisk BK 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✗ Over 2.5
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