Daegu 2-2 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.0
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
14%
6.62
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
4.67
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 33%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.77/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.23
-49% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.4 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
276 Passes 400
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-4 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
16.06.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
26.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
07.07.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
04.03.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
2-2
AWAY Jeju United
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
236 Passes 369
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Jeju United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Daegu had 43% of the ball to Jeju United's 57%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Daegu and 0.50 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Jeju United?

Daegu 2-2 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Daegu 42%, draw 29%, Jeju United 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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