Jeju United 0-4 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 35% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.74
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.52
X/2
15%
5.5
X/X
15%
4.55
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.71
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
-22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 17.2
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Daegu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
388 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
26.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
07.07.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
04.03.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
13.09.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
0-4
AWAY Daegu
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
430 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu cruised past Jeju United 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Daegu made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Jeju United had 59% of the ball to Daegu's 41%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.17 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Daegu?

Jeju United 0-4 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 33%, draw 29%, Daegu 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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