FC Seoul 2-3 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Sep 2024

FC Seoul
2-3 HT 1-2
Daejeon Citizen
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.01
X/2
12%
8.96
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
9%
7.13
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.25/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.33
+25% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
27.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
02.12.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
13.08.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 4-3 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
01.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK

FC Seoul 2-3 Daejeon Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
2-3
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
351 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen squeezed past FC Seoul 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 56% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 44%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Seoul and 2.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

FC Seoul 2-3 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 49%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Seoul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Over 2.5
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