FC Seoul 2-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
24%
3.91
X/2
8%
9.48
X/X
11%
5.11
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
7%
7.46
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.19/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.00
+62% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
447 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
02.12.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
13.08.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 4-3 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
01.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
15.07.2020 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
2-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul edged past Daejeon Citizen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 61% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 39%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Seoul and 2.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

FC Seoul 2-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 53%, draw 26%, Daejeon Citizen 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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