Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.45
X/X
14%
4.85
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
12%
5.48
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.49/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/1.69
+4% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gwangju
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 0.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
438 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
03.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
02.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
30.04.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.09.2021 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 55% of the ball to Gwangju's 45%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 42%, draw 29%, Gwangju 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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