Daejeon Citizen 3-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
4.14
6+ Goals
11%
19.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.14 — our 23% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.54
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
16%
6.11
X/2
15%
4.91
X/X
7%
4.13
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.34
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.26
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.5 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 452
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
13.08.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 4-3 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
01.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
15.07.2020 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
22.08.2015 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3-1
AWAY FC Seoul
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 428
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen saw off FC Seoul 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 45% of the ball to FC Seoul's 55%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.67 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul?

Daejeon Citizen 3-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 26%, FC Seoul 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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