Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.64
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
8%
5.4
X/2
14%
6.16
X/X
13%
3.74
2/1
4%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.39
2/X
7%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
1.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
+35% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.8 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gangwon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
08.07.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
02.08.2020 Gangwon Gangwon 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
16.05.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
06.10.2019 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0
AWAY Gangwon
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
525 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu edged past Gangwon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gimcheon Sangmu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 59% of the ball to Gangwon's 41%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.00 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 38%, draw 30%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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