Mumbai City 4-2 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

Mumbai City
4-2 HT 1-0
Kerala Blasters
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.4
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.68/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.26
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.2 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.12.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-0 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
08.10.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
08.01.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-0 HT 4-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
28.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 0-2 HT 0-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
02.03.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
19.12.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-3 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Mumbai City 4-2 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
4-2
AWAY Kerala Blasters
3.95 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City beat Kerala Blasters 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mumbai City had 46% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 54%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 3.95 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mumbai City and 1.50 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters?

Mumbai City 4-2 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 50%, draw 25%, Kerala Blasters 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Over 2.5
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