NorthEast United 3-2 Odisha FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.47/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.65
+18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.1 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Odisha FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
225 Passes 351
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 NorthEast United NorthEast United 3-0 HT 3-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
03.11.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-0 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
17.02.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-3 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
02.12.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
18.01.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-2 HT 0-2 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
10.12.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-0 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs Odisha FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United nicked a narrow win over Odisha FC 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had NorthEast United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for NorthEast United and 1.50 for Odisha FC.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs Odisha FC?

NorthEast United 3-2 Odisha FC in the India - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs Odisha FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 45%, draw 25%, Odisha FC 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NorthEast United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HİNSL More India - Super League
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