Helmond Sport vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Helmond Sport v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Helmond Sport 0-1 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior found just enough to beat Helmond Sport 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Excelsior saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.39 to 1.01.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Helmond Sport against 2.50 for Excelsior.
Helmond Sport vs Excelsior Result & Final Score
Helmond Sport 0 - 1 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Helmond Sport vs Excelsior Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 30%, draw 25%, Excelsior 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.